Hat Drop Rate

[FadedOasis]

I was mentioning a couple of my pseudo-math drop rates today, but I found this:

forums.steampowered.com/forums/showthread.php?t=951207

Every 15,430 seconds (4 hours, 17 minutes, and 10 seconds) you have a 1.1905% chance to receive a hat. These are the exact values used and is not something that was determined by using data collected from idlers.

From this I have figured out the following:

The chances of getting a hat in	100 hours of playtime:	24.2%
	200 hours of playtime:	42.6%
	300 hours of playtime:	57.0%
	400 hours of playtime:	67.4%
	500 hours of playtime:	75.3%
	750 hours of playtime:	87.9%

Yeah, you have about the same chances of guessing one of two coin flips as getting a hat in 500 hours.

In conclusion: hats are fucking rare. Stop complaining.

[brianblack]

I don't complain. Hats just make you a bigger target. I'm afraid if I actually get a pyro hat, everyone will stop firing rockets at me.

[strata]

Now that I know this, I may actually cry when I get a hat.

[pneuma08]

Aug 29, 2009 0:02:55 GMT -5 FadedOasis said:

In conclusion: hats are fucking rare. Stop complaining.

Surprise!

And it's only because they're rare that people give a damn in the first place.

[FadedOasis]

According to Drunken f00l, the drop rate increased to 3.5714% today. Updated chart is below.

The chances of getting a hat in	50 hours of playtime:	33.0%
	100 hours of playtime:	56.7%
	200 hours of playtime:	81.2%

This is a huge boost, but that doesn't mean you should start complaining.

_{This chart is provided by the Association For The Support Of FadedOasis' Lack Of Life.}

[atenthirtyone]

Sept 1, 2009 23:52:58 GMT -5 FadedOasis said:

_{This chart is provided by the Association For The Support Of FadedOasis' Lack Of Life.}

^

I love it.

[carbad]

I got a hat today! But it's the masters yellow belt and I dont play sniper. I'll trade for a tyrolean if valve ever implements trading :/

[clicheguevara]

I WANT IT.

all i have is the firemans hat thing for the pyro though. ):


...trade you my huntsman for it ;]

[atenthirtyone]

Sept 2, 2009 13:46:36 GMT -5 clicheguevara said:

I WANT IT.

all i have is the firemans hat thing for the pyro though. ):


...trade you my huntsman for it ;]

I'll trade Tough Guy's Torque for Fire Brigade.

[strata]

\ o /

[carbad]

lol, hypothetical trading

[FadedOasis]

Please don't make trading requests now. I've had a "Trading" board set up and hidden since the forum's creation, just waiting for it to be implemented.

[carbad]

but what if all the good hats have been hypothetically traded away by the time actual trading is available?

edit: severe lolz detected:

www.teamfortress.com/post.php?id=2787

apparently idling is immoral now

I would feel bad about not getting the free hat but I just got one before this blog post anyway.

the interesting bit is the whole crafting items into new items, which is nice because I just deleted all my duplicates.

also, it only says external apps. Here comes the triumphant return of achievement_idle

more edort: I'm dissapointed. I wanted to be told off by the Announcer like last time valve did this, not some boring IRL person. I'm going to start a petition to have the post re-written.

[pneuma08]

NB: external idling programs. They apparently still don't care if you sit connected to the Steam Cloud all day.

[docsfox]

Aug 29, 2009 2:37:09 GMT -5 brianblack said:

I don't complain. Hats just make you a bigger target. I'm afraid if I actually get a pyro hat, everyone will stop firing rockets at me.

>.> Get a hat soon would you? Would teach me a lesson.

[brianblack]

What? I gots my halo on and you still shoot shit at me.